Posts by Philippe J. Fournier

A new 338Canada/Maclean’s projection: Tories in the lead

Philippe J. Fournier: After a flurry of new polls the latest electoral model sees the Conservatives well positioned and gaining ground in Quebec

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Jane Philpott faces long odds of re-election

Philippe J. Fournier: An exclusive 338Canada/Mainstreet poll has the Liberals with the lead in Markham-Stouffville and the Independent in third place

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Jody Wilson-Raybould has the lead over Trudeau’s Liberals

An exclusive 338Canada/Mainstreet poll puts the Independent narrowly ahead of the Liberals in her riding, with a shot at re-election

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What’s wrong with Jagmeet Singh’s NDP?

Philippe J. Fournier: The latest 338Canada analysis shows the party struggling in Quebec and B.C. and far off its 2015 results

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How accurate are Canadian polls?

Philippe J. Fournier: A 338Canada analysis shows the hits and misses of the country’s top polling firms—and the importance of polling aggregates

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The results of the next federal election—if electoral reform had happened

Philippe J. Fournier: A new 338 Canada projection shows that under a proportional representation system the Greens and NDP would take a combined 90 seats

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A new 338Canada projection has the Tories safely in majority territory

Philippe J. Fournier: The latest electoral model has the Conservatives winning 174 seats, while the Liberals face big losses in Ontario and Atlantic Canada

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A Green-NDP merger? It could be a big hit.

Philippe J. Fournier: A new 338Canada analysis shows the ‘Green Democrats’ would hold the balance of power in a minority government after the next election

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A new vote projection points to a historic Green win in P.E.I.

Philippe J. Fournier: Uncertainty remains high but a simplified 338 electoral model puts the Green Party just above the threshold for a majority win

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A near-perfect call on the Alberta election

The vote projection prepared by 338Canada.com for Maclean’s was 97.7 per cent accurate, missing just two seats. Here’s the breakdown.

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