Posts by Philippe J. Fournier

O'Toole makes his way to Parliament Hill following a caucus meeting in Ottawa on June 23, 2021 (Sean Kilpatrick/CP)

The Conservatives keep falling behind: 338Canada

Philippe J. Fournier: The latest round of polling suggests the Tories are getting pulled down by an unpopular leader, putting the Liberals in solid majority territory

Kenney announces the results of the referendum on unity in Calgary on July 22, 2017 (Jeff McIntosh/CP)

Politics

The splintering of the right in Alberta: 338Canada

Phillippe J. Fournier: The latest Alberta election projection puts the NDP in majority territory, with mounting evidence the UCP’s 2019 path to victory won’t work in 2023

Ottawa

A summer election would be a risky bet for the Liberals: 338Canada

Philippe J. Fournier: The latest federal election projection shows the Liberals falling short of a majority, with an outcome eerily similar to the results of the 2019 election

Ottawa

Canada, where vaccine acceptance isn’t political

Philippe J. Fournier: Unlike in the U.S, where vaccine eagerness shifts along party lines, a new poll shows Canadians of all stripes broadly support getting the shot

Ford prepares for Question Period at Queen’s Park on May 5, 2021 (Frank Gunn/CP)

Politics

Doug Ford’s PC Party takes a hit: 338Canada

Philippe J. Fournier: A new poll shows recent events have taken a considerable toll on PC support, putting the party just barely ahead of the Ontario NDP and Liberals

Ottawa

The Conservatives’ great big climate problem: 338Canada

Philippe J. Fournier: New data shows that on climate change, Conservative supporters are way out of step with voters from every other major party in Canada

Legault walks to a news conference before Question Period on May 6, 2021 at the legislature in Quebec City (CP/Jacques Boissinot)

Politics

François Legault’s total dominance: 338Canada

Philippe J. Fournier: In our latest projection, the CAQ party has more safe seats than the threshold for a majority. Meanwhile, the PQ continues to disintegrate.

Layton gives the thumbs up to supporters in Montreal at a rally on April 23, 2011 (CP/Jacques Boissinot)

Ottawa

338Canada: What is left of the Orange Wave in Quebec? Not much.

Philippe J. Fournier: Ten years ago, the NDP won a remarkable 59 seats in Quebec. In our latest election projection, the party is at risk of losing its lone seat in the province.

Ford poses with Kenney at the Ontario Legislature in Toronto on May 3, 2019 (CP/Chris Young)

Ottawa

338Canada: Our patience is wearing thin

Philippe J. Fournier: As the third wave of the pandemic has taken hold, satisfaction with political leadership is on the decline outside of Atlantic Canada and Quebec

People arrive to cast their ballots at a polling station on federal election day in Shawinigan, Que., on Oct. 21, 2019 (CP/Graham Hughes)

Ottawa

338Canada: The Liberals are winning over older—normally Conservative—voters

Philippe J. Fournier: Recently vaccinated seniors could be driving up Liberal support over the Tories. Enough of them in key ridings could turn a slim majority into a blowout.

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