Posts by Philippe J. Fournier

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and Ontario NDP MPP Marit Stiles bump elbows after a press conference on the federal and provincial government's back to school plans, in Toronto, Aug. 26, 2020 (CP/Cole Burston)

338Canada: Who leads among young voters? The NDP.

Philippe J. Fournier: When young people turn out to vote—like they did for the Liberals in 2015—they can be the difference between victory and defeat

Trump speaks to supporters near the White House on Jan. 6, 2021, in Washington, DC (MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images)

Politics

Canada is not immune to Trumpism

Philippe J. Fournier: There is ample evidence that the buds of authoritarianism are already germinating here. Canadians should not be complacent.

Ottawa

338Canada: What the polls told us in 2020

Philippe J. Fournier: The Liberals escape 2020 holding a significant lead. The Tories still need a place to grow. And the NDP sees a flicker of promise.

Ford meets with Rick Hillier, chair of the COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution Task Force, Health Minister Christine Elliott (right) and solicitor general Sylvia Jones at Queens Park on Dec. 4, 2020 (CP/Chris Young)

Politics

Doug Ford remains solidly in command: 338Canada

Philippe J. Fournier: A new Mainstreet/338Canada poll shows the PC Party opening a huge lead in every region of the province over the second-place NDP

Trudeau meets with Kenney on Parliament Hill on Dec. 10, 2019 (CP/Sean Kilpatrick)

Ottawa

338Canada: The federal Liberals hold steady. Jason Kenney sinks.

Philippe J. Fournier: While Canadians still mostly approve of their political leaders, a spring federal election may hinge on a smooth vaccine rollout

In the multiple-exposed image O'Toole asks a question and Trudeau answers during question period in the House of Commons on Nov. 4, 2020 (CP/Sean Kilpatrick)

Ottawa

338Canada federal vote projection: Steady as they go

Philippe J. Fournier: The Liberals remain in strong minority territory, while the Conservatives sit near their unshakeable floor of 30 per cent support

Trump arrives at a Make America Great Again rally at Wilkes-Barre Scranton International Airport on Nov. 2, 2020, in Avoca, Penn. (BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images)

Washington

A final 338Canada U.S. election projection: Where the race will be won or lost

Philippe J. Fournier: To win, Trump needs to run the table. On election night, keep close watch on Texas, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Horgan leaves a campaign stop in New Westminster, B.C. on Oct. 23, 2020 (CP/Jonathan Hayward)

Politics

338Canada: A final B.C. election projection and an overwhelming outcome

Philippe J. Fournier: A flurry of polls over the past week put the B.C. NDP odds of winning at 98 per cent, with 59 seats and possibly the highest vote share in its history

Washington

Donald Trump’s potential path to victory: 338Canada

Philippe J. Fournier: Some modest polling errors in a number of toss-up states and a win in Pennsylvania could push Trump over the tipping point to win

Wilkinson prepares for the leaders debate with Horgan and Furstenau at the Chan Centre in Vancouver on Oct. 13, 2020 (CP/Jonathan Hayward)

Politics

The sinking B.C. Liberal campaign: 338Canada election projection

Philippe J. Fournier: Barring a major polling error, John Horgan’s NDP is projected to win a comfortable majority in the B.C. election this month

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