The secret to Obama’s success revealed

Nate Silver, the breakthrough pundit of the 2008 U.S. election, made deep statistical analysis hip with fivethirtyeight.com. He also proved remarkably prophetic, give or take a few fractions of a percent. In a new analysis he pinpoints the key to Barack Obama’s victory ad it turns out it was the cities, stupid. "If Bill Clinton was the first black president," he writes, "then Barack Obama might be the first urban one."

Esquire