Unweighted average, first three polls (Ekos, Harris-Decima, Angus Reid) taken after the first day of the campaign:

Con 37     Lib 26     NDP 18     Green 9     Bloc 9

Unweighted average, four most recent polls (Ekos, Nanos, Harris-Decima, Strategic Counsel) as of Sept 30:

Con 36     Lib 25     NDP 19     Green 10    Bloc 10

All those polls (more than 50 in all), all those breathless headlines, all that instant analysis, all that money…

And they are all within a percentage point of where they started.

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