Unweighted average, first three polls (Ekos, Harris-Decima, Angus Reid) taken after the first day of the campaign:
Con 37 Lib 26 NDP 18 Green 9 Bloc 9
Unweighted average, four most recent polls (Ekos, Nanos, Harris-Decima, Strategic Counsel) as of Sept 30:
Con 36 Lib 25 NDP 19 Green 10 Bloc 10
All those polls (more than 50 in all), all those breathless headlines, all that instant analysis, all that money…
And they are all within a percentage point of where they started.
FILED UNDER: Election Watch entropy Polls