Jennifer Ditchburn lays out a web of political coincidence.
Here it is in full (emphasis mine):
What happens to the (not insignificant) voting bloc that has now effectively been orphaned?
Short of culminating in a Three Stooges-esque slap fight at the final candidates’ debate, I don’t know if the ADQ leadership race could get any more ridiculous. And the way things are going, I’d be reluctant to rule anything out.
Just try to imagine the hand-wringing this would’ve caused across Canada: A Bloc-supported coalition in power in Ottawa with the PQ, propped up by the ADQ, in power in Quebec City.
After Dumont—and from deep in Quebec’s political wilderness—the ADQ reaches out to Canada
A few (more) final thoughts on the election:
With all the anti-sovereignist backlash floating around these days, wouldn’t it be a kick in the pants if the Parti Québécois won next Tuesday’s Monday’s election?
Before all this prorogation nonsense got going, it seemed like a foregone conclusion Jean Charest would win a majority. And despite the anti-sovereignist frenzy that’s been whipped up in Ottawa lately, it still looks that way today. As my fellow maudit anglais pointed out last night, the latest poll has Pauline Marois running 13 points behind Jean Charest with just a weekend to go before the election.
So, what has to happen on Monday for the PQ to prevent a Charest majority or win government for themselves? First, the ADQ’s support has to completely collapse, which it’s safe to assume will happen. Second, a hefty majority of those disaffected ADQ votes have to go to the PQ, which is where things get dicey.
Still, it is possible.
The latest La Presse-CROP poll shows the Liberals widening the chasm between them and the other parties:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UUKKR1xLKDE
The latest poll numbers from Léger Marketing peg the ADQ’s support at a dismal 15%. The Liberals, by contrast, are at 44% and the PQ is at a respectable 33%.
Mario Dumont can complain all he wants about having been publicly savaged by Chantal Hébert at the end of last year’s election campaign. He keeps proving she was right when she said he’s nowhere near having a coherent idea how to govern the province.