Nate Silver

Emergency services member is reflected in the sunglasses of Britain’s Prince Charles during a reception at Bondi Icebergs swimming club in Sydney

Newsmakers of the week

Sonia Sotomayor hits Sesame Street, Robert Mugabe is the new Cecil Rhodes, plus a king-in-not-waiting
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Mind the ’credibility’ gap

Colby Cosh finds out what subsets, modelling assumptions and ’non-probability samples’ have to do with polling these days