Chrystia Freeland, with Liberal leader Justin Trudeau Sean Kilpatrick
What’s going on in Brandon-Souris (and Toronto Centre)?
By-election polling and intrigue
A new Forum poll gives the Liberal candidate a five-point advantage in Brandon-Souris, roughly in line with what Forum reported last month. How dramatic a result would that be? A 40-35 split in favour of the Liberals would represent a 35-point increase for the Liberals and a 29-point drop for the Conservatives compared to the 2011 result.
Forum also gives the Liberals an 11-point advantage in Toronto Centre, but David Coletto at Abacus has some concerns about those numbers.
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