Philippe J. Fournier: The Conservative leader needs to move his party to the centre if he has any chance of beating the Liberals. If he fails, he won’t get a second chance.
Philippe J. Fournier: The latest 338Canada projection puts the Liberals as 50-to-one favourites to win the most seats and the Conservatives failing to turn the tide post-convention
Philippe J. Fournier: With a weak opposition and a diehard base of supporters, Ontario’s Conservatives still look unbeatable in the latest 338Canada election projection
Philippe J. Fournier: Even within his own party, the Conservative leader is increasingly viewed unfavourably, pointing to challenges ahead to grow the party’s base
Philippe J. Fournier: While the Liberals show wear and tear, the Tories have yet to improve in key areas—among women voters, young urban voters, and in central Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: The Liberals escape 2020 holding a significant lead. The Tories still need a place to grow. And the NDP sees a flicker of promise.
Philippe J. Fournier: The Liberals remain in strong minority territory, while the Conservatives sit near their unshakeable floor of 30 per cent support