ekos weekly

Happy EKOSDay, everyone!

Hey Liberals! Aren’t you glad you weren’t actually able to bring down the government last week? And Tories — oh, come on, admit it:  that ‘nobody wants another election’ talking point has to be starting to stick in your craw right about now. Not only are you firmly planted in just-possibly-depending-how-the-splits-go majority territory, but the Liberals have managed to drop below their 2008 election day support, which up until now was widely thought to be the absolute floor.

And this, EKOS respondents, is no apocalypse. It’s barely even a blip. Given all the storm and fury over the latest Liberal meltdown, and the even more keen than usual anticipation with which we were awaiting today’s weekly numbers, it’s hard not to see this as a little bit of a letdown, frankly: we media types worked our fingers to the bone trying to whip you into a frenzy over the latest Liberal leadership crisis, and this is the thanks we get?

Seven point lead! Seven point lead! Seven point one lead, even, if you want to get all decimal about it! Watch out, semi-mythical majority, the vote-seeking missile that is the Big Blue Machine is locked, loaded and ready to — inch ahead from last week by less than a full percentage point.

So, based on these results, as well as the numbers we’ve seen from a few other pollsters whose names do not begin with the letter I,  it looks like we’ve got ourselves a five point gap between the two leading contenders (insert wounded grumbling from already tender NDP supporters here):

Tories and Liberals are in a dead heat

Look! Movement! Microscropic movement so far within the margin of error that it should probably have its own metananomargin of error, unless that would plunge us into an Escheresque nightmare of ever diminishing circles and possibly shred the very fabric of the space-time-weekly-tracking-poll continuum, yes, but still: