BDJ Oscar picks

For those who don’t want to wade through the scattershot performance-art of my Oscar predictions on video, for the record here’s who I think will win, and should win tonight, leaving out the short films, which I haven’t seen. Tune in to my liveblog of the awards for play-by-play commentary . . .

Best Picture

Will win: Slumdog Millionaire / Should win: Milk

Best Director

Will win: Danny Boyle / Should win: Danny Boyle

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Best Lead Actor

Will win: Sean Penn / Should win: Sean Penn

Best Lead Actress

Will win: Kate Winslet / Should win: Anne Hathaway

Best Supporting ActorWill win: Heath Ledger / Should win: Heath Ledger

Best Supporting Actress

Will win: Penelope Cruz / Should win: Penelope Cruz

Best Original Screenplay

Will win: Milk / Should win: Milk

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will win: Slumdog Millionaire / Should win: Frost/Nixon

Best Foreign Language Film

Will win: Waltz with Bashir / Should win: The Class

Best Documentary Feature

Will win: Trouble the Water / Should win: Man on Wire

Best Animated Feature

Should win: WALL-E / Will Win: WALL-E

Best Art Direction

Will win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button / Should win: The Dark Knight

Best Film Editing

Will win: Slumdog Millionaire / Should win: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Original Score

Will win: Slumdog Millionaire / Should win: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Cinematography

Will win: Slumdog Millionaire / Should win: Slumdog Millionaire

Best Costume Design

Will win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button / Should win: The Duchess

Best Makeup

Will win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button / Should win: The Dark Knight

Best Visual Effects

Will win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button/ Should win: The Dark Knight

Best Original Song

Will win: Down to Earth (WALL-E) / Should win: Jai Ho (Slumdog)