For those who don’t want to wade through the scattershot performance-art of my Oscar predictions on video, for the record here’s who I think will win, and should win tonight, leaving out the short films, which I haven’t seen. Tune in to my liveblog of the awards for play-by-play commentary . . .
Best Picture
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire / Should win: Milk
Best Director
Will win: Danny Boyle / Should win: Danny Boyle
Best Lead Actor
Will win: Sean Penn / Should win: Sean Penn
Best Lead Actress
Will win: Kate Winslet / Should win: Anne Hathaway
Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Heath Ledger / Should win: Heath Ledger
Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Penelope Cruz / Should win: Penelope Cruz
Best Original Screenplay
Will win: Milk / Should win: Milk
Best Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire / Should win: Frost/Nixon
Best Foreign Language Film
Will win: Waltz with Bashir / Should win: The Class
Best Documentary Feature
Will win: Trouble the Water / Should win: Man on Wire
Best Animated Feature
Should win: WALL-E / Will Win: WALL-E
Best Art Direction
Will win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button / Should win: The Dark Knight
Best Film Editing
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire / Should win: Slumdog Millionaire
Best Original Score
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire / Should win: Slumdog Millionaire
Best Cinematography
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire / Should win: Slumdog Millionaire
Best Costume Design
Will win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button / Should win: The Duchess
Best Makeup
Will win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button / Should win: The Dark Knight
Best Visual Effects
Will win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button/ Should win: The Dark Knight
Best Original Song
Will win: Down to Earth (WALL-E) / Should win: Jai Ho (Slumdog)