OttawaAdvising the Governor GeneralEkos asks what should happen if a minority government is defeated soon after the next election. Leger asks a similar question and...
OttawaFrom the magazineHere is the magazine piece on Michael Ignatieff’s current situation. Here is the math.
OttawaAdventures in probabilityMichael Veall cautions against reading too much into sudden poll changes.
OttawaVague notionsFifty-four percent of Canadians prefer a Liberal-NDP coalition to a Conservative majority, but a plurality of Canadians feel...
OttawaStatistical probabilitiesThe last three changes in government were not obviously foretold by publicly available polling data
OttawaIn defence of the humble pollsterLast week, Darrell Bricker and John Wright defended their profession against recent criticism . Today, Michael Adams makes his own...
OttawaEverything you know is of questionable accuracyIn a pair of stories , Joan Bryden effectively questions the basis for 85% of political discussion in popular media. Further...
OttawaWe remain torn over hypothetical optionsWhen Nanos polled a thousand Canadians in January 2009 about what should happen if that year’s federal budget was defeated, 49%...