338Canada

Philippe J. Fournier: The poll average shows an incredibly close race at the top, but no consensus on where NDP support stands

Philippe J. Fournier: A flurry of new polls are out to mark the start of the federal election campaign. They put the Liberals one seat shy of a majority.

Philippe J. Fournier: The Liberals have the edge in the seat projection, but their lead in many ridings is not considered ’safe’. Small swings could have dramatics impacts.

Philippe J. Fournier: In the best case scenario given the latest numbers, the NDP barely wins more than half of its 2015 seat total. Worst case, it risks losing official party status.

Philippe J. Fournier: With the ethics commissioner’s report behind them, the regional breakdown this week still gives the Liberals an edge

Philippe J. Fournier: Three new polls conducted after the ethics commissioner’s report was released show the race still deadlocked

Philippe J. Fournier: Pollsters are likely in the field on the heels of the latest developments in the SNC-Lavalin affair. Right now, Liberals and Tories are statistically tied.

Four years of public opinion polling show a remarkably popular Trudeau government, undone toward the end by its own mistakes

Philippe J. Fournier: The race remains deadlocked, with Andrew Scheer’s ongoing slide in Ontario clouding the Conservatives’ chances

Philippe J. Fournier: A 338Canada projection shows what would happen if either province separated. There’s a key lesson here for the Liberals.