338Canada

Philippe J. Fournier: This week’s projection shows no favourite, but the trend is clear: the Conservatives’ advantage has faded into the distance

Philippe J. Fournier: A regional breakdown of the results across the country this week point to tight race and a minority government scenario

Philippe J. Fournier: A raft of new polls have come out with diverging scenarios. A key takeaway: keep your eye on the big picture.

Philippe J. Fournier: The Conservatives’ slide in Ontario proves costly in the overall seat projection—now a dead heat between the two main parties

Philippe J. Fournier: After a disastrous winter and spring, the Liberals may be creeping back into contention

Philippe J. Fournier: The Conservative lead holds, but with rising fortunes in Ontario the Liberals’ seat projection improves significantly

Philippe J. Fournier: Are the Conservatives quietly making a breakthrough in Quebec? New polls show a glimpse of progress—and a big challenge.

Philippe J. Fournier: After a flurry of new polls the latest electoral model sees the Conservatives well positioned and gaining ground in Quebec

Philippe J. Fournier: An exclusive 338Canada/Mainstreet poll has the Liberals with the lead in Markham-Stouffville and the Independent in third place

An exclusive 338Canada/Mainstreet poll puts the Independent narrowly ahead of the Liberals in her riding, with a shot at re-election