The Conservatives keep falling behind: 338Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: The latest round of polling suggests the Tories are getting pulled down by an unpopular leader, putting the Liberals in solid majority territory
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Philippe J. Fournier
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of 338Canada.com, Qc125.com, a regular contributor to L’actualité magazine and a professor of physics and astrophysics at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal. Watch Maclean’s for his upcoming vote projections for the federal election.
The splintering of the right in Alberta: 338Canada
Phillippe J. Fournier: The latest Alberta election projection puts the NDP in majority territory, with mounting evidence the UCP’s 2019 path to victory won’t work in 2023
A summer election would be a risky bet for the Liberals: 338Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: The latest federal election projection shows the Liberals falling short of a majority, with an outcome eerily similar to the results of the 2019 election
Canada, where vaccine acceptance isn’t political
Philippe J. Fournier: Unlike in the U.S, where vaccine eagerness shifts along party lines, a new poll shows Canadians of all stripes broadly support getting the shot
Doug Ford’s PC Party takes a hit: 338Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: A new poll shows recent events have taken a considerable toll on PC support, putting the party just barely ahead of the Ontario NDP and Liberals
The Conservatives’ great big climate problem: 338Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: New data shows that on climate change, Conservative supporters are way out of step with voters from every other major party in Canada
François Legault’s total dominance: 338Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: In our latest projection, the CAQ party has more safe seats than the threshold for a majority. Meanwhile, the PQ continues to disintegrate.
338Canada: What is left of the Orange Wave in Quebec? Not much.
Philippe J. Fournier: Ten years ago, the NDP won a remarkable 59 seats in Quebec. In our latest election projection, the party is at risk of losing its lone seat in the province.
338Canada: Our patience is wearing thin
Philippe J. Fournier: As the third wave of the pandemic has taken hold, satisfaction with political leadership is on the decline outside of Atlantic Canada and Quebec
338Canada: The Liberals are winning over older—normally Conservative—voters
Philippe J. Fournier: Recently vaccinated seniors could be driving up Liberal support over the Tories. Enough of them in key ridings could turn a slim majority into a blowout.