The Conservatives keep falling behind: 338Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: The latest round of polling suggests the Tories are getting pulled down by an unpopular leader, putting the Liberals in solid majority territory
Philippe J. Fournier
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of 338Canada.com, Qc125.com, a regular contributor to L’actualité magazine and a professor of physics and astrophysics at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.
The splintering of the right in Alberta: 338Canada
Phillippe J. Fournier: The latest Alberta election projection puts the NDP in majority territory, with mounting evidence the UCP’s 2019 path to victory won’t work in 2023
A summer election would be a risky bet for the Liberals: 338Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: The latest federal election projection shows the Liberals falling short of a majority, with an outcome eerily similar to the results of the 2019 election
Canada, where vaccine acceptance isn’t political
Philippe J. Fournier: Unlike in the U.S, where vaccine eagerness shifts along party lines, a new poll shows Canadians of all stripes broadly support getting the shot
Doug Ford’s PC Party takes a hit: 338Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: A new poll shows recent events have taken a considerable toll on PC support, putting the party just barely ahead of the Ontario NDP and Liberals
The Conservatives’ great big climate problem: 338Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: New data shows that on climate change, Conservative supporters are way out of step with voters from every other major party in Canada
François Legault’s total dominance: 338Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: In our latest projection, the CAQ party has more safe seats than the threshold for a majority. Meanwhile, the PQ continues to disintegrate.
338Canada: What is left of the Orange Wave in Quebec? Not much.
Philippe J. Fournier: Ten years ago, the NDP won a remarkable 59 seats in Quebec. In our latest election projection, the party is at risk of losing its lone seat in the province.
338Canada: Our patience is wearing thin
Philippe J. Fournier: As the third wave of the pandemic has taken hold, satisfaction with political leadership is on the decline outside of Atlantic Canada and Quebec
338Canada: The Liberals are winning over older—normally Conservative—voters
Philippe J. Fournier: Recently vaccinated seniors could be driving up Liberal support over the Tories. Enough of them in key ridings could turn a slim majority into a blowout.