While the Conservatives bicker the Liberals open their lead: 338Canada
Philippe J. Fournier: The Conservative leadership race is back, and not looking good on the party. A new seat projection suggests it may be taking its toll.
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Philippe J. Fournier
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of 338Canada.com, Qc125.com, a regular contributor to L’actualité magazine and a professor of physics and astrophysics at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal. Watch Maclean’s for his upcoming vote projections for the federal election.
338Canada: The odds are against Trump, but they’re not as bad as you might think
Philippe J. Fournier: Polls have Joe Biden ahead of Trump, but as with Clinton in 2016, how the ’toss up’ states eventually swing is what matters
338Canada: Canadians are overwhelmingly satisfied with their governments’ COVID-19 responses
Philippe J. Fournier: Both the provinces and the federal government get high approval ratings, while the Liberals have widened their gap over the CPC
What Google data says about Canadian vs. U.S. social distancing efforts
Philippe J. Fournier: In reducing travel, Canada’s most populous provinces rank well. Trump-backing U.S. states are at the bottom.
338Canada: Confidence in the Liberals runs high. But for how long?
Philippe Fournier: The Liberals have surged ahead in voting attentions, even as coronavirus cases double every three days and the America problem looms large
How Americans underestimate the threat of the coronavirus
Philippe J. Fournier: Like so many things in America today, it’s all about Donald Trump—and, polls show, the thinking of his Republican supporters
338Canada: An early B.C. seat projection gives a slight edge to the NDP
Philippe J. Fournier: The 338Canada model has the B.C. NDP beating the Liberal seat count in 70 per cent of all simulations. But it’s still anyone’s game.
How is the government’s response to the coronavirus outbreak? Not bad, say Canadians.
Philippe J. Fournier: A new Angus Reid poll says almost half of Canadians approve of Ottawa’s response—with opinions largely split along party lines
338Canada: The Conservatives can’t crack Liberal support
Philippe J. Fournier: Despite Liberal failures, the party’s numbers are holding while the Tories haven’t solved their Ontario problem
338Canada: Jason Kenney still holds a commanding lead in Alberta
Philippe J. Fournier: A new poll shows the UCP has maintained support after 10 months in power, with an 8-point lead over the NDP