A new 338Canada/Maclean’s projection: Tories in the lead
Philippe J. Fournier: After a flurry of new polls the latest electoral model sees the Conservatives well positioned and gaining ground in Quebec
True North Strong Free. Subscribe today.
Philippe J. Fournier
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of 338Canada.com, Qc125.com, a regular contributor to L’actualité magazine and a professor of physics and astrophysics at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal. Watch Maclean’s for his upcoming vote projections for the federal election.
Jane Philpott faces long odds of re-election
Philippe J. Fournier: An exclusive 338Canada/Mainstreet poll has the Liberals with the lead in Markham-Stouffville and the Independent in third place
Jody Wilson-Raybould has the lead over Trudeau’s Liberals
An exclusive 338Canada/Mainstreet poll puts the Independent narrowly ahead of the Liberals in her riding, with a shot at re-election
What’s wrong with Jagmeet Singh’s NDP?
Philippe J. Fournier: The latest 338Canada analysis shows the party struggling in Quebec and B.C. and far off its 2015 results
How accurate are Canadian polls?
Philippe J. Fournier: A 338Canada analysis shows the hits and misses of the country’s top polling firms—and the importance of polling aggregates
The results of the next federal election—if electoral reform had happened
Philippe J. Fournier: A new 338 Canada projection shows that under a proportional representation system the Greens and NDP would take a combined 90 seats
A new 338Canada projection has the Tories safely in majority territory
Philippe J. Fournier: The latest electoral model has the Conservatives winning 174 seats, while the Liberals face big losses in Ontario and Atlantic Canada
A Green-NDP merger? It could be a big hit.
Philippe J. Fournier: A new 338Canada analysis shows the ‘Green Democrats’ would hold the balance of power in a minority government after the next election
A new vote projection points to a historic Green win in P.E.I.
Philippe J. Fournier: Uncertainty remains high but a simplified 338 electoral model puts the Green Party just above the threshold for a majority win
A near-perfect call on the Alberta election
The vote projection prepared by 338Canada.com for Maclean’s was 97.7 per cent accurate, missing just two seats. Here’s the breakdown.