What’s the winning recipe for the Conservatives?
Philippe J. Fournier: Who is leading the party won’t matter as much as who can get the vote out in the next general election
True North Strong Free. Subscribe today.
Philippe J. Fournier
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of 338Canada.com, Qc125.com, a regular contributor to L’actualité magazine and a professor of physics and astrophysics at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal. Watch Maclean’s for his upcoming vote projections for the federal election.
338Canada: A bilingual Tory leader? The numbers say it matters.
Philippe J. Fournier: A new Léger poll shows Canadians favour a bilingual leader—and without one the Conservatives could face a crushing defeat
338Canada: Doug Ford’s slipping numbers
Philippe J. Fournier: The PCs continue to fall further behind the Liberals, while a majority of Ontarians side with the teachers in the ongoing strike
338Canada: The CPC’s social conservative risk
Philippe J. Fournier: The latest data presents a challenge for the party—does it want a leader with socially conservative views or does it want to win?
338Canada’s NHL projection Part 2: The West
Philippe J. Fournier: The Canucks lead the way while the numbers don’t bode well for Alberta’s flagging teams
The year-end 338Canada projection: Nowhere to go for the Liberals
Philippe J. Fournier: The NDP and leaderless Greens are up, while the Conservatives aren’t fading. Don’t expect a snap election.
338Canada: Now for something lighter than politics—NHL projections!
Philippe J. Fournier: Applying the 338Canada model to hockey reveals the Leafs destined for the playoffs, and the Sens in need of a miracle
338Canada: How bad things are for Doug Ford
Philippe J. Fournier: If an election was held today, the deeply unpopular PCs would be tied with the still leaderless Liberals
The dominant power in Quebec: the CAQ
Philippe J. Fournier: One year in, the party maintains a commanding lead, and this week could record an historic by-election win
The Bloc Québécois, on the coattails of the CAQ
Philippe J. Fournier: A 338Canada analysis shows it was the Bloc—not the Conservatives—that did best where the CAQ had dominated last year